Thinking about future technology, even that of the near future, will always include a life that is augmented by robots. Robots, up to now devices somewhere between automated production and science fiction will be ubiquitous helpers men of the future won't be able to live without. So a recent prediction by futurologist Ray Hammond hits the news and he's predicting lots of useful things: the rapid change of our lives since the 1980s will continue and even accelerate; people will get implemented sort of geo-tagging in order to send help if they feel ill, personal DNA mapping, gene-therapy drugs, and stem cell research will extend people's life up to 130 years and more. The environment will go somewhat to the extreme, but mankind will handle this by using more energy-efficient measurements, the Internet will be even more connected, and robots, to come back to this article's topic, will become important helpers in everyday life by caring for the old and the young.
But it's not all about robotic nannies. Let's have a look besides our everyday lives. Noel Sharkey, CS Dept. of the University of Sheffield has written a thoughtful article in the November issue of IEEE Computer magazine, that deals with autonomous weaponry that will change the way men will conduct war and the ethical implications.
For Sharkey it's obvious that autonomous robotics research projects have been harnessed to manufacture killing machines. Almost every leading nation is increasingly using semiautonomous robotic devices for military purposes, the US Future Combat Systems projects will have spendings estimated to exceed $230 billion. More than 4000 robots are already operating in Iraq and Afghanistan (ideal recent testbeds for evaluating weapon systems and new kinds of warfare).
Ethical questions arise for engineers and computer scientists: while robotic systems so far have been mainly used for clearing explosive devices, thus saving lives, the US Army introduced the first three Forster-Miller Talon/SWORDS (Special Weapons Observations Reconnaissance Direct-Action System) armed combat robots into Iraq.
Usage of semiautonomous weaponry usually is covered under current ethical warfare discussion. In the end, a human being decides when to kill. This is comparable to usage of traditional weaponry where a pilot might press the red button and ethical responsibilities can be loaded on him and the chain of command. But these developments will change fast according to a prediction of James Canton, CEO of the Institute for Global Futures, that within a decade detachments with 150 soldiers and 2000 robots will be possible. It is just a matter of time when fully autonomous systems will be applied: cheap manufacturing, fewer support personnel and being able to send less human soldiers put them on the agenda.
However, there are no ethical guidelines in place for the inevitable collateral civilian deaths autonomous systems pay responsible for. Though a lot of developers, engineers, scientists, and technicians are involved in the development process, there is no real chain of responsibility defined if autonomous systems one day are going to decide to kill a human being. The idea of robot consciousness and thought are just subject of the academic debate and this terrifiying scenario where machines are killing people is a new territory that isn't even rudimentally discussed by society. Then, possibilities of Artificial Intelligence (AI) are often overrated; all the worse when it's about decisions about death or life.
Military's promise to save lives by reducing the body count is a mere proposition since nobody has ever fought a robotic war. A possible side effect would be a lowering of the hurdle to fight a war because less soldiers would be involved (but this doesn't tell anything about civilian deaths) and costs could be reduced. But even the possibility of an artificial conscience would emerge new problems because an autonomous system faces a lot of difficulties when trying to find it's way. Under no circumstances such a complex AI will be ready before deployment of the first systems. We have to consider if we want handle with questions about the responsibility for potential war crimes caused by machines that are just executing killer codes. (Source; IEEE ComSoc members or pay per view)
The author is member of ACM and IEEE and thus bound to their codes of ethics.