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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on October 16, 2008 11:22 AM.

The previous post in this blog was "So where were the quants?".

The next post in this blog is On Future Combat Systems.

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On Future Shocks

Infoworld lists an interesting collection of possible things to come within the next ten years. Some are obvious, some are pure science-fiction, some are quite frightening. Let's see:

  • More cloud computing: because of lower productive costs, enterprises will invest in distributed computing. Perhaps. But only if we think about computing in its literal meaning. Any attempt to re-establish the so-called net computer will fail. (We already had this trend 10+ years ago.)
  • Ubiquituous computing with wearable devices and smart gadgets. Perhaps. But there will be an increasing group of people that will find the absence of these gadgets okay.
  • Virtual interfaces:
  • Error-free computers. Haha, not really. Maybe they hide the error codes.
  • Adaptive interfaces. Definitely, I expect some cool designs that work, not just bells and whistles.
  • Triumphant automation: yes, to the dislike of workers. But handcraft will have a revival.
  • Efforts in image recognition: perhaps, depending on the image material. I wonder if we ever get bored with the permanent image explosion.
  • Smart smart phones: yes, but this depends on how much people are willing to spend on this. In critical times this is one of the first markets to fail.
  • Always on: Perhaps not.
  • Omnipresent surveillance. Definitely. You know my attitude to this.
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